Dynamical Systems - History - Backgrounds |
Edward N. Lorenz
In the early 1960's using a simple system of equations to model
convection in the atmosphere, Edward Lorenz, an MIT meteorologist,
ran headlong into "sensitivity to initial conditions". In the process he
sketched the outlines of one of the first recognized chaotic
attractors.
In Lorenz's meteorological computer modeling, he discovered the
underlying mechanism of deterministic
chaos: simply-formulated systems with only a few variables can display
highly complicated behavior that is unpredictable. Using his
digital computer, culling through reams of printed numbers and simple
strip chart plots of the variables, he saw that slight differences in one
variable had profound effects on the outcome of the whole system. This was
one of the first clear demonstrations of sensitive dependence on initial
conditions. Equally important Lorenz showed that this occurred in a
simple, but physically relevant model.
He also appreciated that in real weather situations, this sensitivity
could mean the development of a front or pressure-system where there never
would have been one in previous models. In his famous 1963 paper Lorenz
picturesquely explains that a butterfly flapping its wings in Beijing
could affect the weather thousands of miles away some days later. This
sensitivity is now called the "butterfly effect".
Here is a Java
simulation of the Butterfly Effect using the chaotic
attractor that Lorenz discovered. |
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